The threshold comes first. Before any pilot runs, in writing: what assumption is under test, what confirms it, what kills it, what you will do in each case, and the decision date. If the kill condition cannot be written, it is not a pilot — it is a launch with a modest budget.
Synthetic first. Twins go through the pilot, generate feedback on value, delight, confusion and fit; an assistant agent tweaks; repeat until strongly positive. Machine-speed quality control, so real attention is never spent on an obvious miss. Directional only — it never substitutes for payment.
The strongest format is dynamic co-design: preflight questions personalize the pilot to their actual life; an interactive narrative unfolds beat by beat with the participant choosing; a live customization panel redesigns the experience in real time. “I hate lavender.” “What do you love?” “Roses.” Each participant hands back a personalized version they co-designed until they liked it — and people want what they helped shape.
Every pilot result flows back: update the Compass, the Storyboard and the Portfolio. Kill the belief, not just the idea, or you will regenerate the same idea in two quarters.
Graduation is three sign-offs: synthetic, real-customer with genuine commitment to pay, and leadership. Only then do you build — and you sell back to the community first. If they do not pay, they were never customers, and the loop needs to hear that too.
1ConceptualMock-ups / interactive narrativeDoes it resonate — and what do they want it to be?
2SampleThe real thing, free, onceDoes the real thing delight like the concept promised?
3Paid trialA real series; payment is the signalValuable enough to pay for? Nothing else answers this.
4OperationalPaying customers, ongoingDoes it hold — and what adjacent value appears?